Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 18.632502 21.658863 24.966087 28.841208 33.249597 38.100705 43.835186
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 14.719181 19.143550 24.470019 31.316806 39.842311 50.063048 63.193851
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.541679 16.431622 22.790286 31.577934 43.306237 58.305407 78.804575
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.192711 14.144597 21.020222 31.117392 45.388566 64.627074 92.262841
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.376579 12.175217 19.241081 30.190356 46.460545 69.414618 103.821959
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.220516 10.935277 18.250776 30.136732 48.587097 75.659539 117.746352
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.371155 10.008354 17.557338 30.361584 51.033216 82.445340 132.878498
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.316763 8.543818 15.773374 28.584873 50.104130 83.970029 140.112991
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.914787 8.150088 15.697664 29.565000 53.625160 92.582306 158.856870
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.655611 7.972324 15.959122 31.121955 58.208179 103.194157 181.504080
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.126829 7.180295 14.997335 30.380181 58.745156 107.167703 193.569161
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.613177 6.326263 13.795021 29.034281 58.041192 108.931788 201.984294
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.487974 6.303114 14.258529 30.996983 63.721409 122.463420 232.082535
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.407856 6.374954 14.939527 33.497618 70.715376 138.986828 268.859161
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.135981 5.952120 14.527724 33.746916 73.424662 148.017098 293.019248
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.846224 5.425332 13.807527 33.252433 74.596278 154.271120 312.559473
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.567476 4.864623 12.918938 32.267169 74.641943 158.351136 328.291840
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.385772 4.521169 12.479694 32.210021 76.584379 166.200703 351.661129
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.243728 4.256793 12.188988 32.448702 79.164405 175.476076 378.386541
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.018189 3.694979 11.060965 30.562075 76.891139 174.780751 385.430618
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.951725 3.603640 11.137760 31.602914 81.265435 188.037875 421.258153
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.914727 3.598880 11.446077 33.255894 87.188879 204.939111 465.546043
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.791270 3.277658 10.829933 32.468435 87.326433 209.541272 484.734441